The Marack administration has been doing its level best to vilify Israel, making it appear to be the impediment to peace with those damnable settlements. Maybe if we started calling them ghettos Marack would feel better about them.
Let's look at the big picture, and see the situation as a linear spectrum. On one end you have Israel's stated position represented by Netanyahu's speech at Bar Ilan. Israel requires the following non-negotiable terms in order for an Arab state to be created west of the Jordan River (despite the fact there is a perfectly good "Palestinian" state on the east side of the Jordan River that was actually carved out of the Jewish state that was mandated in the Balfour Declaration).
- The Arabs must unconditionally, and unequivocally recognize Israel as the permanent homeland of the Jewish people.
- Israel must have defensible borders which means control of the high ground circumnavigating Judea and Samaria, and the Jordan Valley (Bibi did not articulate that, but it is what is implied).
- The Arab state must be demilitarized, like Andorra, with this status being maintained by the international community (which means Israel is going to have to do it).
- Arab refugees will be settled within the borders of the new Arab state, not in Israel.
- Jerusalem will be remain the undivided capital of Israel.
On the other side of the spectrum you have the Arab position as articulated repeatedly over the last several months by the leaders of both Hamas and Fatah, PA Chaiseman Mahmoud Abbas, Muhammed Dahlan, and a host of other PA officials who have been quoted in Arab and Israeli newspapers, on TV, and on the internet, including this blog:
- Israel does not have the right to exist.
- Israel must be destroyed with all the Jews expelled or (preferably) killed.
Since getting the message from American Jews that Marack isn't badgering the Arabs anywhere close to the level that he is Israel, Marack decided to get Hillary Clinton to talk with Saudi officials to create the appearance that this badgering is now taking place. Of course Marack would say it's just getting a higher profile now, because the pressure has been applied all along, it's just not widely reported. Whatever, douchebag.
So Secretary Clinton meets with Saudi Foreign Ministerial Joke, Princeling Saud al-Faisal, and tells the Saudis they need to get on the stick with making concessions to Israel. The Saudis did everything but pants her and laugh in her face (I doff my hat to the Vicious Babushka for providing the most apt description of the Saudi response). But since the Saudis, and every other Arab country in the region, have already articulated that the only way things will be normalized is if Israel commits suicide, that meeting was a complete waste of time, except to demonstrate that Marack's Middle East policies are a colossal joke, and that the Arabs have no intention of making peace with Israel. The United States will undoubtedly respond to the Saudis by buying more of their oil. High five!
So, who is winning at the moment? It's certainly not Marack, whose plans for Israeli destruction are not going the way he had hoped at all. The winner so far has to be Netanyahu. His Bar Ilan terms, his easing of restrictions in Judea and Samaria, along with the shipping of concrete to Gaza (any guesses as to the concrete for schools to concrete for smuggling tunnel reinforcement ratio?) has shown the Blight House that he is willing to lay the groundwork, while the PA has shown that it is only willing to accept Judenrein.
But the PA hasn't been left out in the cold. The terrorists have gotten a $200 million consolation prize in US aid money, part of the $900 million that Secretary Clinton had said would not be transfered unless the Arabs renounced violence, recognized Israel, etc. Though the PA did not meet a single American requirement to receive the aid, the money was transfered anyway, the announcement being made by Secretary Clinton last week. But despite the constant attempt by the Blight House to make Bibi look like the villain, Israel is, once again the only party in the region to demonstrate that it is willing to do something. Whether these actions are just meat for Marack is another story. The facts on the ground are that removing checkpoints, roadblocks, and extending the hours of operation of the Allenby Bridge do make things easier on ordinary Arabs. It also makes it easier for the Arabs to move weapons around, which they are no doubt doing, as Fatah is about to declare a "limited" resumption of violence against Israel. Most likely that means killing children. Go with what you know, right?
Since the PA, Hamas, and the Arab world at large has shown its hand, sticking literally to its destroy Israel guns (which are being supplied by the United States as well as Israel), there is no reason for the Israeli government to go through with this charade any longer. So the big question is, will Bibi continue to stonewall, or will he just come out and say that it is clear that the PA is not serious (which is what the PA is saying about Bibi), and that his government will no longer entertain American diplomats and overtures on the subject? Of course there is always the possibility that he will cave and accept the settlement freeze, but I think there are enough members of his cabinet to his right that would take the government down and move it in that direction that he may not do that, (that's my hope anyway). If anything is true, it's that he likes sitting in that big chair. Perhaps the Likud MKs that signed the letter of resistance that was submitted to Bibi a few weeks ago, will bail and join National Union, provided the Mofaz bill passes. Who knows?
So now that Marack knows he's not going to get anywhere with his diplomatic shimsham, what will he do? He wants to get rid of Israel, that much is clear. Arms deals with Israel have been scuttled. Spare parts requisitions are being tied up with red tape. American sanctions are meaningless. There really is only one way for Marack to go if he's serious: the military option.
Do I think Marack would consider armed intervention in order to force an Arab state on Israel at the '67 borders? From everything that I've seen that lying snake do, and from the words of his own people like Samantha Power, who has openly called for the military imposition of an Arab state west of the Jordan, (while laughing about how that would alienate American Jews) it must be assumed that this option is on the table for him. We know that the Marack administration is in support of a UN doctrine where nations would engage in military intervention to stop genocide (just so you understand what a fucked up world we live in, China supports this even though it is the principle backer of the Bashir regime in Sudan, and is engaged in the ethnic cleansing of Tibet...the nations of the world are so full of shit it's no wonder they feel compelled to vilify Israel, but in the end it's like putting patchouli oil on festering, unwashed hippie armpits...we can still smell you). And though Israel is absolutely not committing acts of genocide against Arabs, we know full well that the leftists who support Marack believe wholeheartedly that Israel is doing exactly that, and that reality and truth mean nothing to them. It's not too big of a stretch to envision a scenario where Keith Dayton's forces (much of which consists of members of Fatah's Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades) would be turned on Israel, with the support of the White House.
The fly in that ointment is that, as reported here, Dayton's forces are undermanned, and underperform (though it is possible, and highly likely that they are playing dumb because in these "law enforcement" scenarios described by Aaron Klein, members of the security forces are supposed to be shooting at and apprehending their own militia members...yes it's that fucked up. You can't make this stuff up.
In any case, it is a very possible scenario that we will end up at a place where the PA security forces, with tacit approval from the White House, will begin military assaults on Jewish communities in Yehuda and Shomron. If you are a sane Israeli politician (that number seems to be very few) then you have to see that as a possibility when the Resident in the White House is highly motivated to get Arabs to love him by forcing Israeli suicide.
But again, Marack's stance isn't helping him as recent Pew polling indicates that the Arabs of Judea and Samaria like Osama more than Obama, and 68% approve of suicide bombings, with support of such bombings increasing across the Arab world. His big Cairo speech did not generate the kind of enthusiasm he had hoped for (though it is arguable that increased Arab intransigence vis a vis Israel is exactly what he wanted, we know the Narcissist in Chief wants to be more loved by the islamists than Osama). Maybe he should have served free beer.
Another signal that Israel should be prepared for a military scenario is the buzz surrounding the upcoming Fatah Convention (the first 100 terrorists in the door get free homicide belts...maybe it's me, but wouldn't that be the perfect day for a Hamas homicide bombing of Fatah? How I miss those days when Fatah and Hamas were too busy killing each other to kill Jews). Rumor is that Fatah will vote to unilaterally declare a state at the '67 borders if talks fail. Since there are no talks, and there won't be any in the foreseeable future, think about how that scenario will go down. Just in case you're wondering if that will mean peace will suddenly break out, take a look at Abbas' newly named successor who has vowed "to continue the struggle until every grain of Palestinian land is liberated under the Palestinian flag." The PLO, Hamas, and Fatah have made it clear that this means all the land from the Jordan to the Med, necessitating the Arab genocide of the Jewish people (all those organizations have called for the killing of Jews worldwide, which should make the Leftist American Jew kapos happy...they'll have the opportunity to die for their sin of being born Jews). How much do you want to bet that if that were to start happening the UN would forget all about the doctrine of military intervention to prevent genocide?
Is all of this disastrous for Israel? Not entirely. The Israeli public knows land for peace is sham. The Israeli left, as was noted in Caroline Glick's latest column, and as evidenced by Israel's election, is on the run. Peace Now, Labor, and especially Meretz, are on life support, and the divulging of Washington's desire to extend Judenrein to Jerusalem has solidified Israeli support behind the center-right government. The question is, does Bibi have the beitzim to continue to stand up to Marack? I have heard commentators say he will cave, and others say he won't. My hope is that if he caves the more right elements will take him down.
In the meantime, more outposts are being built in Judea and Samaria. There is a growing fervor in Israel to resist the Blight House. One can only hope this will lead to the Israeli rejection of American money and "aid," which Israel absolutely does not need.
Everything is wait and see at this point, which is a very stressful place to be for everyone. I personally would feel better if Bibi declared an outright rejection of the freeze, and American aid. I'm not sure he has it in him. My suggestion? Lots of davening. For my part I'm saving up to get a new pair of tefillin.